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Premier League tips, best bets and predictions: Cherries to score early, United to strike late
Football betting tips: Premier League
- Bournemouth to win first half at 11/8
- Dewsbury-Hall to have 1 or more shots on target at 8/5
- Over 4.5 cards Chelsea v Newcastle at 10/11
- Cherki to score or assist, City over 0.5 first half goals, and over 10.5 corners at 15/2
- Man United to win and BTTS at 23/10
All odds provided by DAZN Bet, check out all their Premier League markets here
Burnley v Bournemouth – Cherries to take initiative
Sat, 15:00
No Premier League team have conceded more first half goals this season than Burnley. In fact, no-one else comes close. The nearest to them in this regard is Spurs who have conceded seven fewer.
When we also factor in that only three sides – Man City, Arsenal and Chelsea – have converted more first half goals than Bournemouth in 2025/26 then the Cherries to lead at the break is a logical shout.
Granted, Andoni Iraola’s men have forgotten how to score of late, last bagging in the opening 45 minutes at the tail-end of January. The Cherries though are unbeaten in nine while the Clarets have conceded 2+ goals in 65% of their fixtures.
Normal service will resume at Turf Moor.
Robin Jones - AFC Bournemouth/AFC Bournemouth via Getty Images
Arsenal v Everton – Gunners giving up shots
Sat, 17:30
The Toffees are in decent shape, buoyed by a routine dismissal of Burnley and a tremendous win at St James Park, but history is against them here. Everton have won only one of their last 31 encounters in North London.
Still, their shot-count has risen of late, to 13.4 per 90 across their last five outings compared to 10.6 in their five games prior, and this is pertinent because Arsenal are giving up attempts on their goal right now at an unprecedented rate, even if they are still managing to emerge victorious.
This was pointed out in last week’s FA Cup preview, and sure enough Mansfield registered 11 shots in the first half alone, the highest number the Gunners have faced before the break for three full years.
On Wednesday, Leverkusen reached double figures, as too did Brighton a week before.
This leads us to Kieran Dewsbury-Hall, who is never shy to have a dig, posting a season-high of five vs. Burnley. Two were on target.
Chelsea v Newcastle – Ref busy at the Bridge
Sat, 17:30
Aside from a 0-0 draw on the opening day the Blues have scored in every one of their home fixtures this term while Newcastle’s away form is nothing to write home about. The Magpies have visited current inhabitants of the top six on four occasions so far. They scored just twice and shipped in seven.
The hosts therefore are fancied to come out on top with Joao Pedro tipped to do some of the damage. The striker boasts 11 goal involvements in his last 10 outings and backing him to score or assist at 4/6 is a great add to any builder.
It’s discipline though that grabs the attention here, especially with Newcastle picking up five bookings last time out on their travels. Chelsea meanwhile have accrued the fourth highest number of cautions in the top-flight.
Their last five meetings have produced 6.9 yellow cards per 90.
Chris Lee - Chelsea FC/Chelsea FC via Getty Images
West Ham v Man City – Tempting treble
Sat, 20:00
A recent upturn in results and performances from the Hammers should not be discounted but their head-to-head record against City is pitiful, losing 17 and drawing three of their last 20 league encounters. The aggregate scoreline from those games amounts to 59-14.
Erling Haaland has fired 11 of that number, from just seven meetings, but with the Striking Viking strangely out-of-sorts in 2026 maybe Ryan Cherki is the man to back. The French schemer has created 1.5 big chances per 90 this season, a better ratio than any top-flight player with over 500 minutes played.
How City respond to their drubbing in Madrid mid-week will be critical to the outcome in East London and certainly an early attempt to reimpose some order to their season is expected.
Which makes it pertinent that 15 of their last 20 goals scored have come before half-time.
Lastly, a high corner-count would hardly surprise. West Ham have averaged 7.3 corners per 90 at home in 2026, City an equally hefty 6.2 on their travels.
Man United v Aston Villa – Villains unravelling
Sun, 14:00
United’s fortunes may have been transformed under Michael Carrick but many Reds attest they were ‘found out’ at Newcastle, that a change in shape and more adventure shown has not wholly addressed long-standing flaws and limitations.
A plethora of late goals scored under the new gaffer tends to support this theory. Ten of their last 18 have been converted in the last half hour of contests.
As for Villa, key absences in midfield have cost them dear and a once highly promising campaign is in danger of unravelling. Just three wins in 11 is testament to that and central to their slump are injuries to Kamara, Tielemans and McGinn. The Villains used to dominate the centre-circle and now they don’t.
Quality may be in short supply then at Old Trafford – an unusual occurrence for a top four clash – but at least goals are anticipated. No team has been involved in more games where both sides convert than United, a remarkable 72% of their league fixtures.
Odds correct as of March 13. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s.
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