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Premier League tips, best bets and predictions: Early derby goals and City to find a way
Football betting tips: Premier League
- Bournemouth to win, Scott to have 2+ shots, and Newcastle most corners at 8/1
- Van Hecke to receive a yellow card at 14/5
- Man United to have 7+ shots from outside the box at 2/1
- Over 1.5 first half goals in Merseyside derby at 13/8
- Only Man City to score at 2/1
All odds provided by DAZN Bet, check out all their Premier League markets here
Alex Livesey - Danehouse/Getty Images
Newcastle v Bournemouth – Cherries on top
Sat, 15:00
With Bruno Guimaraes and Joelinton both out that places a huge onus on Sandro Tonali to deal with an enterprising Bournemouth midfield, lit up by the criminally under-rated Alex Scott.
A big part in his team’s extended unbeaten run, Scott has taken on 2+ shots in ten of his last 12 outings. Against Newcastle in the FA Cup in January he registered over a third of his team’s attempts, eight all told.
The Cherries are in tremendous form, last beaten in the league three days into 2026, while Newcastle have long imploded, too often sucker-punched by late goals. On that basis alone, an away win must be fancied.
At least the hosts should win the corner-count, racking up nine apiece at home to Brentford, Qarabag, Barcelona and Sunderland in recent months.
Rob Newell - CameraSport via Getty Images
Tottenham v Brighton – Yellows on the cards
Sat, 17:30
Little from Spurs’ performance in the North-East last week suggests any ‘new manager bounce’ under Roberto De Zerbi is forthcoming. There was initially some spirit shown. A bit of adventure. Better organisation. Then Sunderland did to them what 11 other teams have this season, four of them twice. They won fairly comfortably.
With five wins in six, the Seagulls are flying and can easily capitalise on their opponent’s woes, but speculating on the outcome takes a backseat to ill-discipline here.
No team have picked up more cautions than Spurs this term, with Brighton close behind.
For the visitors, Jan Paul van Hecke has received nine bookings this season, and without his regular partner Lewis Dunk alongside him, could get caught out at the back.
Interestingly, seven of his yellow cards were brandished away from the Amex.
Mike Hewitt/Getty Images
Chelsea v Man United – Reds an outside shot
Sat, 20:00
Back-to-back 3-0 losses in the Premier League is damning enough but it still doesn’t tell the whole story of Chelsea’s descent into mediocrity. In those heavy defeats to Manchester City and Everton, the Blues faced a shot on target every 10.5 minutes. They came off worse in player duels in both contests. On each occasion an individual error led to a goal conceded.
Granted, United head to West London on the back of a demoralising reverse at home to Leeds, and with key absences in defence BTTS makes sense for any bet builder. They’re still though in better fettle than their opponents and pertinently no team has registered more shots this term, a lofty 512.
What is interesting is how many of them have come from distance. Indeed, in their last five outings, Michael Carrick’s men have averaged 6.8 efforts per 90 from outside the box.
Carl Recine/Getty Images
Everton v Liverpool – Early goals
Sun, 14:00
Mo Salah may be a shadow of his former sensational self but the Toffees will still fear him this Sunday. The striker boasts nine goal involvements in his last nine Merseyside derbies.
For the home side, the danger man is Beto, the 28-year-old bagging three in his last two.
A long-established narrative of this fixture typically had Everton keeping things tight only for Liverpool’s superiority to ultimately tell. A recent spate of early goals has changed all that.
In three of the last five derbies hosted by the Blues, both teams converted inside 20 minutes.
(Getty Images)
Man City v Arsenal – Blues to find a way
Sun, 16:30
So it comes to this. An away win and Arsenal have one hand on the trophy. A home win and it’s advantage City, just. A draw and every opinion comes with a great big caveat.
The Gunners would surely take the latter, especially after being browbeaten by City in the League Cup final last month. Moreover, they last won at the Etihad in 2015.
A high valuation placed on set-pieces therefore can be expected, on the rare occasions they emerge from a low block. This will be the Arsenal we’ve come to know, and not love very much, supercharged.
City have converted first in each of their last 14 home league games and will look to set the tone of attack vs defence from the off, emphasising the flanks as they did at Wembley. Piero Hincapié had a nightmare that afternoon against Antoine Semenyo while Jeremy Doku completed six dribbles.
Scant goals or chances are anticipated in this colossal clash, but we won’t be able to take our eyes off it.
Odds correct as of April 17th 2026. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s.
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