Only one of these teams has a realistic path to January football, but the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals don’t do meaningless.
As the final game in the triple-header NFL Thanksgiving Thursday slate, there are plenty of gripping storylines as the two AFC North foes turn M&T Bank Stadium into a battlefield.
The Ravens (6-5) have, incredibly, won five games on the bounce, and suddenly sit shoulder-to-shoulder with the Steelers atop the division.
The Bengals (3-8) have lost four in a row, their season left in tatters after losing talismanic quarterback Joe Burrow to a turf toe injury in Week 2.
But with the two-time winner of the Comeback Player of the Year practicing in full this week and ready to make yet another sensational return to the field, this contest could be explosive.
Baltimore goes as dual-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson goes. It’s been the story all year. They lost two of the three games without him, and won five of the eight with him.
Zay Flowers is still his most reliable target, having led the team in receiving yards in 10 of their 11 games. Every other pass catcher, including the once-formidable Mark Andrews at tight end, is a distant second when Jackson is searching for an outlet.
Bruising running back Derrick Henry took time to find his rhythm, managing only 317 yards in Baltimore's first five games. But he's back to his best now and ready to bulldoze the Bengals' porous defense after piling up 554 rushing yards and five touchdowns in his last six outings.
The Ravens' offense is thin in a couple of spots, but they can overcome the absence of tailback Justice Hill and defensive tackle Taven Bryan. Offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley was the far bigger worry, but he looks like he will be ready to suit up.
On defense, linebacker Roquan Smith, cornerback Chidobe Awuzie, and safety Kyle Hamilton have what it takes to make life miserable for Burrow and Co. It was positive news for John Harbaugh's man that Hamilton practiced fully on Wednesday after suffering a toe injury last weekend.
The Bengals finally have Burrow back, and that alone gives them a pulse. They're not a full-strength group around him as wideout Tee Higgins is out with a concussion, but that doesn't mean they're not relishing the fight ahead.
Elite wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is going to have to be Cincy's difference maker as he returns from suspension, and Andre Iosivas and Mike Gesicki will have to step up as secondary options.
With Burrow potentially a little rusty after his layoff, Cincinnati may try to lean on the run game again. Chase Brown has come alive lately with a combined 206 yards rushing in his last two outings.
The defense has been shaky at best, giving up chunk plays all year, and they’re still near the bottom in stopping the run, allowing 5.1 yards per carry.
Rookie linebackers Barrett Carter and Demetrius Knight Jr. have been productive, but they are part of the problem in containing opposing rushers.
It also hasn't helped that star edge rusher Trey Hendrickson has missed four of the last five games. He'll miss this contest, too, creating a headache for defensive coordinator Al Golden, who must find a way to slow down Jackson and Henry.
Baltimore sits at roughly a 69 percent chance of making the postseason. A win bumps them up to around 75. A loss drags them down to the mid-50s. It’s a huge swing night and a must-win game if they are to keep the pressure on the Steelers.
With a mere 1% chance of making the playoffs, the Bengals are playing for pride and bragging rights. Finishing strongly would dent their chances of earning a top-10 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, but it would go a long way toward instilling confidence and momentum as they eye next year's defensive rebuild.
We cannot rule out the possibility that Burrow and Chase can pull off an improbable win, but the likelihood is that the Ravens win, and win big.
Watch for Henry to bully his way to over 100+ yards on the ground.
Ravens 30 - 17 Bengals

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