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NFL 2025 playoff picture: Bracket, odds, bubble watch, and the key games ahead of Week 16

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With just three games remaining in the regular-season slate, the 2025 NFL campaign is entering its most exciting stretch, with teams fighting tooth and nail for a postseason berth. 

Week 16 dials up the pressure even more, with several pivotal games including the TNF Rams-Seahawks clash, one of many you can stream live on DAZN for just 99p!

Here's how the current playoff landscape looks as we prepare for the drama to kick off, including playoff odds for each team and the games to watch.

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The offer drops during one of the most exciting weeks of the season, when the Seahawks host the Rams, the Packers visit the Bears, and the Patriots take on the Ravens - all with huge playoff implications.

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AFC and NFC playoff bracket ahead of Week 16

Playoff picture week 16

Click here to view a full list of all teams already eliminated from the playoff race.

AFC playoff seedings and odds

Odds are per Next Gen Stats

Current seedTeamCurrent playoff %With a Week 16 win %With a Week 16 loss %No. 1 seed %
1Denver Broncos (12-2)100%69%
2New England Patriots (11-3)>99%100%>99%11%
3Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4)96%>99%93%9%
4Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6)62%76%55%0%
5Los Angeles Chargers (10-4)92%98%87%5%
6Buffalo Bills (10-4)>99%>99%98%6%
7Houston Texans (9-5)94%97%82%<1%
BubbleIndianapolis Colts (8-6)19%36%10%0%
BubbleBaltimore Ravens (7-7)39%47%26%0%

NFC playoff seedings and odds

Odds are per Next Gen Stats

Current seedTeamCurrent playoff %With a Week 16 win %With a Week 16 loss %No. 1 seed %
1Los Angeles Rams (11-3)100%51%
2Chicago Bears (10-4)71%92%53%3%
3Philadelphia Eagles (9-5)>99%100%97%<1%
4Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-7)77%94%55%0%
5Seattle Seahawks (11-3)>99%100%99%31%
6San Francisco 49ers (10-4)98%100%94%14%
7Green Bay Packers (9-4-1)87%99%75%<1%
BubbleDetroit Lions (8-6)44%55%19%0%
BubbleCarolina Panthers (7-7)23%45%6%0%
OutsideDallas Cowboys (6-7-1)<1%2%0%0%

Key Week 16 fixtures

Here is the full Week 16 schedule. What follows are the games that have the most riding on them in terms of playoff positioning:

Rams @ Seahawks

The Rams have already secured their postseason berth, but they'll be going all out to make it 2-0 over their division rivals. If they do that, their odds of securing the No.1 seed improve dramatically.

Should the Seahawks win, all hell breaks loose, as they would leapfrog Los Angeles in the race to win the NFC West and that coveted top seed.

Jaguars @ Broncos

The Broncos are the only AFC team that’s already clinched, and they can take a massive step toward locking up the conference against the Jaguars. If they win, and the Chargers lose, the AFC West is theirs.

Steelers @ Lions and Patriots @ Ravens

The Steelers are in a tricky spot, facing a tough Lions team fighting for their playoff lifeline. But Pittsburgh’s Week 15 win over the Dolphins on MNF gives them a little breathing room ahead of the Ravens, who have an even more difficult task vs the Patriots.

49ers @ Colts

The Colts are in must-win territory after losing four straight. Can old man Rivers inspire them to victory over the 49ers on MNF? Possibly. San Fran may take their foot off the pedal if the Steelers defeat the Lions on Sunday, meaning Kyle Shanahan's side would already be in.

Buccaneers @ Panthers

Round one of the big NFC South battle, with round two to follow in Week 18 when they meet again. If Tampa loses this one, they still have a better-than-even shot. If Carolina loses, they leave themselves with a mountain to climb.

Packers @ Bears

The NFC North is at stake here. The Bears would love revenge after their Week 14 loss to Green Bay. They also have more at stake, as their playoff odds drop considerably if they don't earn a W against their divisional rivals.

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Final word

This article provides an at-a-glance view of the playoff picture. The result of other games not listed here could affect the odds and outcomes mentioned above.

If one thing is clear, Week 16 is going to be epic. If your plans for the weekend don't involve spending your time glued to NFL Game Pass, you're doing something wrong.