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Usyk vs Dubois 2: What do the numbers tell us about 'Dynamite's chances?
Oleksandr Usyk and Daniel Dubois put their records and reputations on the line for a shot at the undisputed heavyweight championhsip this weekend live on DAZN Pay-Per-View.
The pair meet in a hotly anticipated rematch two years on from the former's victory in Poland with the stakes higher than ever at London's Wembley Stadium on Saturday, July 19.
Since his 2023 loss, Dubois has rebuilt his reputation with a string of superlative victories, capped by a five-round blowout against Anthony Joshua for the IBF title in September.
Now, he looks to seek revenge on Usyk and sweep his WBA, WBC and WBO belts for a history-making result - but just what do his recent fight stats say about how he may do it?
DAZN has been using Ready to Fight's industry leading boxing stats to break down some of the numbers behind his game and explores what it could mean when both men step back into the ring to settle their business between them.
Daniel Dubois vs. Usyk and Others - By the Numbers
Dubois vs. Usyk, Miller, Hrgović and Joshua
| Opponent | Vs. Usyk | Vs. Miller | Vs. Hrgović | Vs. Joshua |
| Body Punches Thrown, Single Round | 11 (5th) | 15 (4th) | 12 (7th) | 5 (3rd) |
| Accuracy, Single Round | 25% (6th) | 66.7% (6th) | 50% (2nd) | 100% (2nd) |
| Jab Average Thrown, Per Round | 18.1 | 30.5 | 22.9 | 17.8 |
| Jab Accuracy, Fight | 6.1% | 46.2% | 12% | 13.5% |
| Jab Average Landed, Single Round | 1.1% | 14.1% | 2.75% | 2.4% |
Dubois vs. Usyk and Others
| Opponent | Vs. Usyk | Vs. Others (Average) |
| Body Punches Thrown, Full Fight | 52 | 47 |
| Body Punches Landed, Full Fight | 3 | 14 |
| Body Punches Accuracy, Full Fight | 5.8% | 31.8% |
| Body Punches Landed, Per Round | 0.33 | 1.63 |
| Jabs Thrown, Full Fight | 163 | 192.3 |
| Jabs Landed, Full Fight | 10 | 58.3 |
* All data proved by Ready to Fight
What does it mean for Usyk vs Dubois 2?
The story of statistics across four fights shows growth for Dubois on the offensive, a stronger ability to take the fight to his foes - but it also tells the story of his opponents too.
With the exception of Joshua, neither Jarrell Miller nor Filip Hrgović arguably can hold a candle to Usyk in regards to boxing IQ, technique and the ability to read shifting tides.
That is reflected in the steady increase of shots Dubois was allowed to throw against both men, posting his best rounds for body punches and straight jabs against them.
Intriguingly, his accuracy with his jab was far stronger against Miller than any of other opponents, basically delivering an accurate effort every other punch versus the American.
Compared to his body punches, where he has found greater success overall, it paints a curious picture of a man who has clealry grown as a fighter, but against inferior rivals.
The Joshua stats further muddy the waters - unlike in his three other fights, Dubois did not need to go even half the distance, dishing out victory inside five rounds with his skills.
Such a performance improves the overall average in some metrics, but arguably weakens it in others, due to less data from a quicker performance, skewing his overall impact.
But one thing cannot be denied - Dubois has improved on nearly every level in at least one of his fights since Usyk stopped him in Poland two years ago. His growth is central.
The litmus test is whether that is enough of an improvement to deal damage against an aging opponent who convincingly read his moves in 2023 - and ultimately outfoxed him.
Usyk vs Dubois 2 only on DAZN
Watch Usyk versus Dubois 2 live and exclusive on DAZN PPV this Saturday - July 19 - for £24.99 UK; $59.99 US; $19.99/equivalent ROW.
