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Premier League tips, best bets and predictions: Bowen backed and Liverpool late-show
Football betting tips: Premier League
- Jarrod Bowen to score or assist at 13/10
- Brighton to win and Kadıoğlu to have 1 or more SOT at 3/1
- 0-0 at half-time Wolves/Sunderland at 15/8
- Palace over 0.5 goals, Bournemouth most corners, and second half most goals at 13/2
- Liverpool last team to score at 21/20
All odds provided by DAZN Bet, check out all their Premier League markets here
(Getty Images)
Brentford v West Ham – Bowen stings the Bees
Sat, 15:00
Only five teams have picked up more points than the Hammers since mid-January. Take a 5-2 thumping at Anfield out of the equation and Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have conceded just 0.8 goals per 90 in that period.
They only have themselves to blame for the mess they’re in but credit where it’s worth, they have responded to their relegation scrap extremely well.
The Bees meanwhile are sliding out of the European reckoning, winless in six though five have been drawn. Indeed, they have drawn six of their last 10 at the Gtech and another sharing of the points here offers up 27/10.
Jarrod Bowen is the player to back in this all-capital affair. The England international has assisted seven times in his last seven outings and has converted nine goals in 15 against Brentford.
Robbie Jay Barratt - AMA/Getty Images
Newcastle v Brighton – Magpies are spiralling
Sat, 15:00
It’s not by design but Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma seem to be taking it in turns to have an excellent game in recent weeks and in-form Brighton are well placed to capitalise on Newcastle’s crisis this Saturday, especially after taking advantage of Spurs and Chelsea in similar fashion.
The Seagulls registered 12 shots on target combined when drawing in North London and thrashing the Blues and must fancy their chances here against a defence that has kept only one clean sheet in 12.
No team has struck the woodwork more often than the Magpies this term but that doesn’t come close to excusing a sustained slump that has seen them tumble down to 14th.
Despite welcoming back Joelinton and – possibly - Anthony Gordon the stark truth is that Newcastle are spiralling badly.
Ferdi Kadıoğlu could do some damage for the visitors down the left. The full-back racked up three shots on target last time out.
ANDY BUCHANAN / AFP via Getty Images
Wolves v Sunderland – Goalless at the break
Sat, 15:00
A mere fortnight ago the Black Cats boasted the fourth best defence in the top-flight, conceding one goal or fewer in 72% of their fixtures. They have since been breached every 20 minutes.
Shipping in three first-half goals in six calamitous minutes last week to Forest was shocking, the eventual scoreline of 0-5 even more so, and surely Regis Le Bris will have spent five consecutive training days hellbent on tightening things up at the back.
Three of the goals came from set-pieces so that’s a good place to start.
Fortunately, they now face relegated Wolves, who failed to score throughout April and have the worst chance conversion rate in the Premier League.
Don’t expect much early drama on this occasion. These sides have converted just 11 first half goals apiece in 2025/26.
George Wood/Getty Images
Bournemouth v Crystal Palace – South Coast Treble
Sun, 14:00
Conceding a 97th minute equaliser was a real sickener for the Cherries last week but it still extends their unbeaten run to 14. It’s well worth noting though that only two home wins are included in that number, their last five at home drawn.
Palace meanwhile lost at Anfield but were competitive throughout, accruing seven shots on target and five big chances. It’s pertinent that they have scored in each of their last six away trips.
Bournemouth also registered seven SOT last weekend, while additionally winning 12 corners, their highest tally at Dean Court all season. With Palace only gaining 4.4 corners per 90 this term we can expect the hosts to come out on top in this regard.
Twice as many Palace fixtures this season have seen more goals scored in the second half to the first.
Shaun Brooks - CameraSport via Getty Images
Man United v Liverpool – Hype justified
Sun, 15:30
Time was when this marquee clash failed to live up to its hype. Way off Liverpool’s levels, United would seek to suck all energy from the room and goalless stalemates became the norm. That or the Merseysiders ran riot, in a hopelessly one-sided affair.
In recent seasons however we’ve been treated to a seven-goal cup thriller, followed up by a couple of 2-2 draws.
With both teams joint-top in the league for shots undertaken in 2025/26 it’s reasonable therefore to hope for further drama and over 3.5 goals is a shout at 23/20. Over 4.5 cards also tempts at 4/6 with the last 10 meetings producing five bookings per 90, plus three dismissals.
Backing the visitors to score last though is the way to go. Over a third of Liverpool’s league strikes this term have been converted beyond the 75th minute.
Odds correct as of May 1st 2026. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s.
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