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Super Bowl LIX betting tips: Best bests, player prop picks and preview for Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

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NFL Super Bowl LIX betting tips

  • Chiefs to win & Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing Touchdowns
  • Kansas City Chiefs moneyline (-120)
  • Philadelphia Eagles 1st half moneyline (-108)
  • Saquon Barkley OVER 111.5 rushing yards 
  • Jalen Hurts UNDER 213.5 passing yards 
  • Patrick Mahomes OVER 252.5 passing yards 
  • Travis Kelce OVER 61.5 receiving yards 

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The Eagles and Chiefs are facing off in a Super Bowl rematch from two seasons ago.

In the first matchup, the Chiefs performed better in the clutch and won a tight game. This matchup will be different, though, as the skill players for both teams are different.

The Eagles have many of the same pieces, but the biggest change has to be Saquon Barkley. The difference he has made for the Eagles' offense is immeasurable.

The defense for both teams is also something not getting much attention but they are considered some of the league's best.

Even with that, it is hard to imagine this being a low-scoring game, though, but it could come down to which defense can make a big play, forcing a turnover or coming up with a crucial third or fourth down stop.

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Philadelphia Eagles best bets and player props

Philadelphia Eagles 1st half moneyline (-108)

The Eagles have been a strong first-half team all season, averaging 13.8 points before halftime in the playoffs. Their ability to start fast, combined with the Chiefs' occasional slow starts, makes this a solid wager.

Philadelphia’s offensive line should create early opportunities for Barkley to dominate on the ground, allowing the Eagles to take control before halftime.

Given their defensive playmakers and Kansas City’s reliance on second-half adjustments, backing the Eagles to lead at the break is a strong bet.

 

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Philadelphia Eagles player props best bets

Saquon Barkley OVER 111.5 rushing yards (-111)

Barkley has been a dominant force in the postseason, averaging 147.3 rushing yards per game.

With the Eagles likely leaning on the run to control possession, Barkley should see a heavy workload against a Chiefs defense that has struggled against power backs.

Expect him to break multiple big runs and surpass this total.

Jalen Hurts UNDER 213.5 passing yards (-111)

Hurts has been efficient but hasn’t been asked to do much through the air in the postseason, averaging just 168.3 yards per game.

With Philadelphia expected to emphasize the ground game, he may not need to air it out often.

Against a strong Kansas City secondary, staying under this mark is likely.

Philadelphia Eagles best bets and player props

Chiefs moneyline (-120)

The Chiefs have thrived in big moments, and with Mahomes under center, they have a clear advantage in the quarterback matchup.

Kansas City's defense has stepped up throughout the playoffs, allowing just 15.5 points per game, and their ability to pressure Jalen Hurts will be a game-changer.

While the Eagles' ground game is a threat, the Chiefs' offense is built for big moments.

Betting Kansas City to win outright at -120 offers strong value, given their Super Bowl experience and Mahomes' ability to take over late.

Patrick MahomesWilliam Purnell/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Kansas City Chiefs player props best bets

Patrick Mahomes OVER 252.5 passing yards (-109)

Mahomes has thrown for 250+ yards in five of his last six postseason games and faces an Eagles defense that allowed 250.5 passing yards per game this season.

With Philadelphia likely to focus on stopping the run, Mahomes will be forced to make plays through the air, making this over a strong play.

Travis Kelce OVER 61.5 receiving yards (-111)

Kelce has been Mahomes' go-to target in every big game, and that won't change in the Super Bowl. The veteran tight end has cleared this mark in 10 of his last 12 playoff games and should exploit mismatches against Philadelphia's linebackers. Expect another reliable performance from Mahomes' most trusted target.

Chiefs SGP Best Bet: Chiefs to Win & Patrick Mahomes 3+ Passing Touchdowns

Betting Mahomes to throw three or more touchdowns in a Chiefs victory is a high-upside play.

He has delivered in big games, throwing for 3+ touchdowns in four of his last six playoff wins.

This same-game parlay offers excellent value against an Eagles secondary that has struggled.

Odds correct as of February 7, 2025, 9.45am. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s.

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Watch Super Bowl LIX live on DAZN for just £0.99p

One of sport's greatest occasions is with us, Super Bowl LIX, as Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles go at it once again, in a repeat of the 2023 NFL showpiece.

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